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Comparisons
between US and:
vehicle rate
dist. rate
Background and more
information in 2004 book
Click for info on
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Comparisons |
vehicle rate |
dist. rate |
Background and more information in 2004 book |
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Click for info on |
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This is the calculation in Table 15-5, page 388, of Traffic Safety showing that 177,593 additional Americans died because US failed to match British safety performance (see also summary in Table 15-7, p. 388)
US versus GB traffic fatalities per thousand registered vehicles (vehicle rate)
| USA | GB | ||||||||||||
| year | traffic fatalities | vehicles (thous) | fatalities per thou vehicles | traffic fatalities | vehicles (thous) | fatalities per thou vehicles | percent change from 1979 | A | B | C | |||
| 1979 | 51,093 | 144,317 | 0.354 | 6,352 | 18,616 | 0.341 | — | 0.354 | 51,093 |
— |
|||
| 1980 | 51,091 | 146,845 | 0.348 | 6,010 | 19,199 | 0.313 |
-8.3 |
0.325 | 47,695 |
3,396 |
|||
| 1981 | 49,301 | 149,330 | 0.330 | 5,846 | 19,347 | 0.302 |
-11.4 |
0.314 | 46,819 |
2,482 |
|||
| 1982 | 43,945 | 151,148 | 0.291 | 5,934 | 19,762 | 0.300 |
-12.0 |
0.312 | 47,091 |
-3,146 |
|||
| 1983 | 42,589 | 153,830 | 0.277 | 5,445 | 20,209 | 0.269 |
-21.0 |
0.280 | 43,004 |
-415 |
|||
| 1984 | 44,257 | 158,900 | 0.279 | 5,599 | 20,765 | 0.270 |
-21.0 |
0.280 | 44,455 |
-198 |
|||
| 1985 | 43,825 | 166,047 | 0.264 | 5,165 | 21,159 | 0.244 |
-28.5 |
0.253 | 42,056 |
1,769 |
|||
| 1986 | 46,087 | 168,545 | 0.273 | 5,382 | 21,699 | 0.248 |
-27.3 |
0.257 | 43,375 |
2,712 |
|||
| 1987 | 46,390 | 172,750 | 0.269 | 5,125 | 22,152 | 0.231 |
-32.2 |
0.240 | 41,469 |
4,921 |
|||
| 1988 | 47,087 | 177,455 | 0.265 | 5,052 | 23,302 | 0.217 |
-36.5 |
0.225 | 39,919 |
7,168 |
|||
| 1989 | 45,582 | 181,165 | 0.252 | 5,373 | 24,196 | 0.222 |
-34.9 |
0.230 | 41,741 |
3,841 |
|||
| 1990 | 44,599 | 184,275 | 0.242 | 5,217 | 24,673 | 0.211 |
-38.0 |
0.219 | 40,428 |
4,171 |
|||
| 1991 | 41,508 | 186,370 | 0.223 | 4,568 | 24,511 | 0.186 |
-45.4 |
0.193 | 36,038 |
5,470 |
|||
| 1992 | 39,250 | 184,938 | 0.212 | 4,229 | 24,577 | 0.172 |
-49.6 |
0.179 | 33,018 |
6,232 |
|||
| 1993 | 40,150 | 188,350 | 0.213 | 3,814 | 24,826 | 0.154 |
-55.0 |
0.159 | 30,023 |
10,127 |
|||
| 1994 | 40,716 | 192,497 | 0.212 | 3,650 | 25,231 | 0.145 |
-57.6 |
0.150 | 28,894 |
11,822 |
|||
| 1995 | 41,817 | 197,065 | 0.212 | 3,621 | 25,369 | 0.143 |
-58.2 |
0.148 | 29,185 |
12,632 |
|||
| 1996 | 42,065 | 201,631 | 0.209 | 3,598 | 26,302 | 0.137 |
-59.9 |
0.142 | 28,619 |
13,446 |
|||
| 1997 | 42,013 | 203,568 | 0.206 | 3,599 | 26,974 | 0.133 |
-60.9 |
0.138 | 28,182 |
13,831 |
|||
| 1998 | 41,501 | 208,076 | 0.199 | 3,421 | 27,538 | 0.124 |
-63.6 |
0.129 | 26,820 |
14,681 |
|||
| 1999 | 41,717 | 212,685 | 0.196 | 3,423 | 28,368 | 0.121 |
-64.6 |
0.125 | 26,628 |
15,089 |
|||
| 2000 | 41,945 | 217,028 | 0.193 | 3,409 | 28,898 | 0.118 |
-65.4 |
0.122 | 26,564 |
15,381 |
|||
| 2001 | 42,196 | 221,230 | 0.191 | 3,450 | 29,747 | 0.116 |
-66.0 |
0.120 | 26,622 |
15,574 |
|||
| 2002 | 42,815 | 224,974 | 0.190 | 3,431 | 30,557 | 0.112 |
-67.1 |
0.117 | 26,210 |
16,605 |
* | ||
|
total number of fewer US fatalities if US rate had declined in step with British rate |
177,593 |
||||||||||||
A: what US rate would have been if it had declined by same percent as British rate
B: what US fatalities would have been for US vehicle fleet if vehicle rate had been as in column A
C: the number of US fatalities prevented if US rate had declined in step with British rate
* If US rate changes had matched those in GB, 16,605 fewer Americans would have been killed in 2002.
In 2002, US fatalities would have been 26,210 rather than the observed 42,815.