Recommend that your Library purchase Traffic Safety -- this Printable Flyer could accompany your recommendation |
THE LANCET |
Volume 364, Number 9443 16 October 2004 |
What
a joy to be asked to review a book on traffic safety! The
last book I reviewed for a medical journal was on
bioterrorism. Like most doctors, I know almost nothing
about bioterrorism, which, despite the current hype,
remains a fairly trivial public-health issue. I suspect
the reason I was asked to review a book on bioterrorism
was that I had recently published a short article on the
increasing number of editorials and papers about
bioterrorism published in the five major medical journals
(Annals of Internal Medicine, BMJ, JAMA, The Lancet, NEJM)
in the run-up to the war in Iraq. To provide a yardstick
against which to assess the attention given to
bioterrorism, I also counted the number of articles
published on traffic accidents, which kill about 3000
people worldwide every day, and which is a topic that I do
know something about. There were twice as many articles on
bioterrorism. The
threat of bioterrorism serves an important political
function. It allows governments, which mainly represent
the interests of the ruling classes, to terrorise the
domestic population, to restrict civil liberties, and to
justify spending huge amounts of taxpayer's money on
armaments. The threat of traffic accidents, on the other
hand, serves no useful political function. According to
Leonard Evans in Traffic Safety, if governments enforced
traffic safety laws, which should include the use of
automatic detection technology, injury rates could be
halved. But in enforcing such laws, governments run the
risk of falling out of favour with the ruling classes.
Cars are built for speed and power, and even if they do
spend most of their working lives idling in gridlock, the
fantasy alone sells cars and makes money.
If
you want to understand why enforcing the traffic safety
laws will save lives then read Traffic Safety. Evans holds
a degree in physics and was principal research scientist
with General Motors for over 30 years. He uses data from
the US Fatality Analysis Reporting System to show that
Newton's laws of motion also apply on the roads (well at
least in the USA). Speed is critically important. Speed
provides the kinetic energy that twists metal and tears
flesh. Indeed, one of the largest reductions in US road
death rates was when speed limits were reduced in response
to the 1973 oil embargo. Sadly, over the next 20 years, as
the crisis faded into the past, the speed limits were
raised again.
Nor
was this the only link between geopolitics and road
deaths. In an excellent chapter on vehicle mass and
fatality risk, Evans explains how high oil prices in the
USA in the early 1970s resulted in the introduction of the
Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) programme in an
attempt to encourage fuel conservation. CAFE required
manufacturers to meet fuel economy targets in all new
vehicles. But fuel use is directly related to mass, so
CAFE resulted in lighter vehicles. In single-vehicle
road-traffic crashes, which account for 49% of occupant
deaths in the USA, heavier cars have a lower fatality
risk. According to Evans, the introduction of CAFE thus
led to thousands of additional road deaths.
But
what about the pedestrians and cyclists who account for
the majority of the victims of road-traffic crashes
worldwide? Do the laws of physics also apply to them?
Picture this: two obese stockbrokers jogging around New
York's Central Park. They are on a collision course and
unable to avoid a crash. There is much groaning, but no
injury. Their energy-absorbing abdomens allowed for a
relatively gradual rate of change of momentum. They dust
themselves down, share some pleasantries, and congratulate
each other on how their large size and mass have protected
them. So, yes--the laws of physics apply to pedestrians.
But apart from a passing reference to the fact that a
heavy car will do more damage to a pedestrian than a
lighter car, and his important suggestion that when a
vehicle strikes a pedestrian the driver should be presumed
to be at fault rather than the pedestrian--Evans rarely
mentions pedestrians and cyclists, which is a serious
oversight.
For
over 3·5 million years, people have roamed our beautiful
planet on foot. A child's first faltering steps are
invariably greeted with delight because walking represents
a key developmental milestone--just as it was a milestone
in the evolution of human life. Walking is part of our
humanity. How can a book on traffic safety overlook the
fact that where there are no cars there is no risk? The
most radical prevention strategy is to tackle the problem
at source, with transport and land-use policies that
reduce car use. Building clustered, high-density
communities with nearby amenities would reduce the need
for car travel. Encouraging safer modes of
transport--improved mass transit, train, and bus services
for longer journeys and walking and cycling for shorter
ones--could slash road deaths. Such policies would also
raise physical activity levels and thus help to tackle the
global epidemic of obesity. They would reduce our
dependence on fossil fuels, reduce global warming, and
perhaps even prevent oil wars like the one raging in Iraq.
Readers of Traffic Safety will note that Evans
is President of Science Serving Society, an organisation
"devoted to adding reason and knowledge to public
policy". Science should, of course, be at the service
of society, but we should not be seduced into thinking
that science is a neutral, value-free endeavour that can
only help to set society on the right track. This book
shows clearly why this is not the case. Evans is a
brilliant scientist whose work deserves to be read, but
this is a book on traffic safety written by someone
steeped in the values of General Motors for most of his
working life--and raised in a country where most people
have at least one car and where walking has become an
aberration. Contrast Evans' vision for a safer
tomorrow--better methods for preventing crashes and
automatic detection technology--with that of Enrique
Peñalosa, the Mayor of Bogotá, Colombia. In a 2002
interview entitled The Politics of Happiness published
in Land and People, Peñalosa described the ideas
that helped him radically transform Bogotá in only 3
years.
"We really have to admit that over the past 100
years we have been building cities much more for mobility
than for people's well-being. Every year thousands of
children are killed by cars. Isn't it time that we build
cities that are more child friendly? . . . One common
measure of how clean a mountain stream is [is] to look for
trout. If you find the trout, the habitat is healthy. It
is the same way with children in a city. Children are a
kind of indicator species. If we can build a successful
city for children, we will have a successful city for all
people."
Peñalosa carried out a hugely ambitious programme of
urban reform that included replacing car-friendly
transport policies with a massive scheme of
pedestrianisation. "We chose not to improve streets
for the sake of cars, but instead to have wonderful spaces
for pedestrians. All this pedestrian infrastructure shows
respect for human dignity. We're telling people, 'You are
important not because you are rich or because you have a
PhD but because you are human'. If people are treated as
special, sacred even, they behave that way. This creates a
different kind of society." Read Traffic Safety
to understand the physics of road death, but read
Peñalosa to decide what kind of future you want for your
children.
Ian
RobertsRoberts@lshtm.ac.uk
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